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MONTHLY COST OF FOOD ALONE AT K506,150:
IS THE GAIN IN THE VALUE OF THE KWACHA HELPING THE PEOPLE?
December 2005
Economic
performance must be judged on the basis of the positive impacts
experienced by the people, more so by those that are living on the margins
of sustenance, observes the Jesuit Centre for Theological Reflection
(JCTR). Currently, there is so
much speculation about the reasons to explain the gain in value of the
Kwacha in relation to the United States Dollar.
But
one key element in guiding this discussion of the Kwacha-US Dollar
relationship concerns the beneficial outcome to the people. While it may be true that effects of positive economic policy take
some time to be felt by the ordinary people, it is also imperative that we realise that the depth of suffering by the people has been too
significant, prolonged and in many ways spread very unevenly between rural
and urban locations.
Development
approaches in Zambia have been unduly oriented to urban areas more than to
rural areas. The attention
given to rural areas in terms of agriculture has not been matched by
meeting the cry of the majority rural people for road infrastructure,
health and education facilities, livelihood opportunities, etc.
If
the strengthening of the Kwacha against the dollar is considered as a
meaningful indication, not only for itself but as a sign of how the larger
economy is improving, as some observers have put it, then there is cause
for greater optimism about the future by the Zambian people.
However,
the fact that the strengthening of the Kwacha has not had any perceivable
relationship to the reduction of key production ingredients such as fuel
means that this phenomenon is meaningful only for itself. Shouldn’t
we have had by now some price reduction of petroleum products taking
effect at “midnight” as the case has always been when the Kwacha loses
its strength? Certainly a
reduction in the cost of fuel will influence the cost of other items such
as food and essential non-food items.
Again,
if the strengthening of the Kwacha has been meaningful not only for itself
but as a sign of how the larger economy is improving people’s lives,
shouldn’t this phenomenon be reflected in the cost of meeting basic
needs? According to the JCTR Basic Needs Basket that measures cost of food and essential non-food
items for a family of six, the cost of food alone in Lusaka amounted to
K506,150 at end of November 2005. This
figure represents a slight reduction of K2,910 in the overall cost of food
from the cost of K509,060 in October. Some increases were recorded in the prices of mealie meal, green
vegetables and milk, while decreases were registered in the prices of
beans and meat. Other food
items like kapenta, dry fish, cooking oil remained same. One
important point to note is that the increase in the price of mealie meal
hurts the majority poor people. But
also small decreases in the price of some commodities and stability in
others is not enough to impact positively on the lives of the people. There is need for some significant and consistent reductions to
benefit households.
There
is one important lesson to draw from the current situation: The
need to have an objective and clear way of measuring economic performance
and ultimately development by seeing what is truly happening in people’s
lives. If the economy is
improving, it must be reflected in the ability of the people to have
access to basic needs. That is
how true development should be seen and measured.
For
now, whatever the reasons for the appreciation of the Kwacha are or may
be, one issue remains clear: we
still have a lot of work to do in Zambia to improve people’s lives.
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